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and this, Mr. W. T. Lynn thinks, "may partly account for its not having hitherto been found by observation."[181]
From a consideration of the approximately circular shape of the orbits of all the large planets of the solar system, Dr. See suggests the existence of three planets outside Neptune, with approximate distances from the sun of 42, 56, and 72 respectively (earth's distance = 1), and recommends a photographic search for them. He says, "To suppose the planetary system to terminate with an orbit so round as that of Neptune is as absurd as to suppose that Jupiter's system terminates with the orbit of the fourth satellite."[182]
According to Grant, even twenty years before the discovery of Neptune the error of Prof. Adams' first approximation amounted to little more than 10.[183]
CHAPTER XI
Comets
We learn from Pliny that comets were cla.s.sified in ancient times, according to their peculiar forms, into twelve cla.s.ses, of which the princ.i.p.al were: _Pogonias_, bearded; _Lampadias_, torch-like; _Xiphias_, sword-like; _Pitheus_, tun-like; _Acontias_, javelin-like; _Ceratias_, horn-like; _Disceus_, quoit-like; and _Hippias_, horse-mane-like.[184]
Of the numerous comets mentioned in astronomical records, comparatively few have been visible to the naked eye. Before the invention of the telescope (1610) only those which were so visible _could_, of course, be recorded. These number about 400. Of the 400 observed since then, some 70 or 80 only have been visible by unaided vision; and most of these now recorded could never have been seen without a telescope. During the last century, out of 300 comets discovered, only 13 were very visible to the naked eye. Hence, when we read in the newspapers that a comet has been discovered the chances are greatly against it becoming visible to the naked eye.[185]
Although comparatively few comets can be seen without a telescope, they are sometimes bright enough to be visible in daylight! Such were those of B.C. 43, A.D. 1106, 1402, 1532, 1577, 1744, 1843, and the "great September comet" of 1882.
If we except the great comet of 1861, through the tail of which the earth is supposed to have pa.s.sed, the comet which came nearest to the earth was that of 1770, known as Lexell's, which approached us within two millions of miles, moving nearly in the plane of the ecliptic. It produced, however, no effect on the tides, nor on the moon's motion, which shows that its ma.s.s must have been very small. It was computed by Laplace that if its ma.s.s had equalled that of the earth, the length of our year would have been shortened by 2 hours 47 minutes, and as there was no perceptible change Laplace concluded that the comet's ma.s.s did not exceed 1/5000th of the earth's ma.s.s. This is the comet which pa.s.sed so near to Jupiter that its period was reduced to 5 years. Owing to another near approach in 1779 it became invisible from the earth, and is now lost.[186] Its ident.i.ty with the recently discovered eighth satellite of Jupiter has been suggested by Mr. George Forbes (see under "Jupiter"). At the near approach of Lexell's comet to the earth in 1770, Messier, "the comet ferret,"
found that its head had an apparent diameter of 2, or nearly five times that of the moon!
Another case of near approach to the earth was that of Biela's comet at its appearance in 1805. On the evening of December 9 of that year, the comet approached the earth within 3,380,000 miles.[187]
The comet of A.D. 1106 is stated to have been seen in daylight close to the sun. This was on February 4 of that year. On February 10 it had a tail of 60 in length, according to Gaubil.[188]
The comet of 1577 seems to have been one of the brightest on record.
According to Tycho Brahe, it was visible in broad daylight. He describes the head as "round, bright, and of a yellowish light," with a curved tail of a reddish colour.[189]
The comet of 1652 was observed for about three weeks only, and Hevelius and Comiers state that it was equal to the moon in apparent size! This would indicate a near approach to the earth. An orbit computed by Halley shows that the least distance was about 12 millions of miles, and the diameter of the comet's head rather less than 110,000 miles, or about 14 times the earth's diameter.
According to Mr. Denning, "most of the periodical comets at perihelion are outside the earth's...o...b..t, and hence it follows that they escape observation unless the earth is on the same side of the sun as the comet."[190]
It was computed by M. Faye that the _volume_ of the famous Donati's comet (1858) was about 500 times that of the sun! On the other hand, he calculated that its _ma.s.s_ (or quant.i.ty of matter it contained) was only a fraction of the earth's ma.s.s. This shows how almost inconceivably tenuous the material forming the comet must have been--much more rarefied, indeed, than the most perfect vacuum which can be produced in an air-pump. This tenuity is shown by the fact that stars were seen through the tail "as if the tail did not exist." A mist of a few hundred yards in thickness is sufficient to hide the stars from our view, while a thickness of thousands of miles of cometary matter does not suffice even to dim their brilliancy!
At the time of the appearance of the great comet of 1843, it was doubtful whether the comet had transited the sun's disc. But it is now known, from careful calculations by Prof. Hubbard, that a transit really took place between 11{h} 28{m} and 12{h} 29{m} on February 27, 1843, and might have been observed in the southern hemisphere. The distance of this remarkable comet from the sun at its perihelion pa.s.sage was less than that of any known comet. A little before 10 p.m. on February 27, the comet pa.s.sed within 81,500 miles of the sun's surface with the enormous velocity of 348 miles a second! It remained less than 2 hours north of the ecliptic, pa.s.sing from the ascending to the descending node of its...o...b..t in 2{h} 13{m}4.[191] The great comet of 1882 transited the sun's disc on Sunday, September 17, of that year, the ingress taking place at 4{h} 50{m} 58{s}, Cape mean time. When on the sun the comet was absolutely invisible, showing that there was nothing solid about it. It was visible near the sun with the naked eye a little before the transit took place.[192] This great comet was found by several computors to have been travelling in an elliptic orbit with a period of about eight centuries. Morrison found 712 years; Frisby, 794; Fabritius, 823; and Kreutz, 843 years.[193]
The great southern comet of 1887 may be described as a comet without a head! The popular idea of a comet is a star with a tail. But in this case there was no head visible--to the naked eye at least. Dr. Thome of the Cordoba Observatory--its discoverer--describes it as "a beautiful object--a narrow, straight, sharply defined, graceful tail, over 40 long, s.h.i.+ning with a soft starry light against a dark sky, beginning apparently without a head, and gradually widening and fading as it extended upwards."[194]
The great southern comet of 1901 had five tails on May 6 of that year. Two were fairly bright, and the remaining three rather faint. Mr. Gale saw a number of faint stars through the tails. The light of these seem to have been "undimmed." Mr. Cobham noticed that the stars Rigel and Eridani shone through one of the faint tails, and "showed no perceptible difference."[195]
Prof. W. H. Pickering says that "the head of a comet, as far as our present knowledge is concerned, seems therefore to be merely a meteor swarm containing so much gaseous material that when electrified by its approach to the sun it will be rendered luminous" (_Harvard Annual_, vol.
x.x.xii. part ii. p. 295) "... if the meteors and their atmospheres are sufficiently widely separated from one another, the comet may be brilliant and yet transparent at the same time."
In the case of Swift's comet of 1892 some periodical differences of appearance were due, according to Prof. W. H. Pickering, to a rotation of the comet round an axis pa.s.sing longitudinally through the tail, and he estimated the period of rotation at about 94 to 97 hours. He computed that in this comet the repulsive force exerted by the sun on the comet's tail was "about 395 times the gravitational force."[196]
The comet known as 1902_b_ approached the planet Mercury within two millions of miles on November 29 of that year. Prof. O. C. Wendell, of Harvard Observatory, made some observations on the transparency of this comet. He found with the aid of a photometer and the 15-inch telescope of the observatory that in the case of two faint stars over which the comet pa.s.sed on October 14, 1902, the absorption of light by the comet was insensible, and possibly did not exceed one or two hundredths of a magnitude,[197] an amount quite imperceptible to the naked eye, and shows conclusively how almost inconceivably rarefied the substance of this comet must be.
The comet known as Morehouse (1908_c_) showed some curious and wonderful changes. Mr. Borelly found that five tails are visible on a photographic plate taken on October 3, 1908, and the trail of an occulted star indicates a slight absorption effect. According to M. L. Rabourdin, great changes took place from day to day, and even during the course of an hour!
Similar changes were recorded by G. M. Gauthier; and Prof. Barnard, who photographed the comet on 30 nights from September 2 to October 13, states that the photographs of September 30 "are unique, whilst the transformation which took place between the taking of these and the taking of the next one on October 1 was very wonderful."[198] The spectrum showed the lines of cyanogen instead of the hydrocarbon spectrum shown by most comets.
Prof. Barnard has suggested that all the phenomena of comets' tails cannot be explained by a repulsive force from the sun. Short tails issuing from the comet's nucleus at considerable angles with the main tail point to eruptive action in the comet itself. The rapid changes and distortions frequently observed in the tails of some comets suggest motion through a resisting medium; and the sudden increase of light also occasionally observed points in the same direction.[199]
It was computed by Olbers that if a comet having a ma.s.s of 1/2000th of the earth's ma.s.s--which would form a globe of about 520 miles in diameter and of the density of granite--collided with the earth, with a velocity of 40 miles a second, our globe would be shattered into fragments.[200] But that any comet has a solid nucleus of this size seems very doubtful; and we may further say that the collision of the earth with _any_ comet is highly improbable.
It seems to be a common idea that harvests are affected by comets, and even "comet wines" are sometimes spoken of. But we know that the earth receives practically no heat from the brightest comet. Even in the case of the brilliant comet of 1811, one of the finest on record, it was found that "all the efforts to concentrate its rays did not produce the slightest effect on the blackened bulb of the most sensitive thermometer."
Arago found that the year 1808, in which several comets were visible, was a cold year, "and 1831, in which there was no comet, enjoyed a much higher temperature than 1819, when there were three comets, one of which was very brilliant."[201] We may, therefore, safely conclude that even a large comet has no effect whatever on the weather.
From calculations on the orbit of Halley's comet, the next return of which is due in 1910, Messrs. Cowell and Crommelin find that the ident.i.ty of the comet shown on the Bayeux Tapestry with Halley's comet is now "fully established." They find that the date of perihelion pa.s.sage was March 25, 1066, which differs by only 4 days from the date found by Hind. The imposing aspect of the comet in 1066 described in European chronicles of that time is confirmed by the Chinese Annals. In the latter records the brightness is compared to that of Venus, and even with that of the moon!
The comparison with the moon was probably an exaggeration, but the comet doubtless made a very brilliant show. In the Bayeux Tapestry the inscription on the wall behind the spectators reads: "_isti mirant stella_." Now, this is bad Latin, and Mr. W. T. Lynn has made the interesting suggestion that some of the letters are hidden by the buildings in front and that the real sentence is "_isti mirantur stellam_."[202] The present writer has examined the copy of the Bayeux Tapestry which is in the Dublin Museum, and thinks that Mr. Lynn's suggestion seems very plausible. But the last letter of _stellam_ is apparently hidden by the comet's tail, which does not seem very probable!
The conditions under which the comet will appear in 1910 are not unlike those of 1066 and 1145. "In each year the comet was discovered as a morning star, then lost in the sun's rays; on its emergence it was near the earth and moved with great rapidity, finally becoming stationary in the neighbourhood of Hydra, where it was lost to view."[203] In 1910 it will probably be an evening star before March 17, and after May 11, making a near approach to the earth about May 12. About this time its apparent motion in the sky will be very rapid. As, however, periodical comets--such as Halley's--seem to become fainter at each return, great expectations with reference to its appearance in 1910 should not be indulged in.
The appearance of Halley's comet in A.D. 1222 is thus described by Pingre--a great authority on comets--(quoting from an ancient writer)--
"In autumn, that is to say in the months of August and September, a star of the first magnitude was seen, very red, and accompanied by a great tail which extended towards the top of the sky in the form of a cone extremely pointed. It appeared to be very near the earth. It was observed (at first?) near the place of the setting sun in the month of December."
With reference to its appearance in the year 1456, when it was of "vivid brightness," and had a tail of 60 in length, Admiral Smyth says,[204] "To its malign influence were imputed the rapid successes of Mahomet II., which then threatened all Christendom. The general alarm was greatly aggravated by the conduct of Pope Callixtus III., who, though otherwise a man of abilities, was a poor astronomer; for that pontiff daily ordered the church bells to be rung at noon-tide, extra _Ave-Marias_ to be repeated, and a special protest and excommunication was composed, exorcising equally the Devil, the Turks, and the comet." With reference to this story, Mr. G. F. Chambers points out[205] that it is probably based on a pa.s.sage in Platina's _Vitae Pontific.u.m_. But in this pa.s.sage there is no mention made of excommunication or exorcism, so that the story, which has long been current, is probably mythical. In confirmation of this view, the Rev. W. F. Rigge has shown conclusively[206] that no bull was ever issued by Pope Callixtus III. containing a reference to _any_ comet. The story would therefore seem to be absolutely without foundation, and should be consigned to the limbo of all such baseless myths.
With reference to the appearance of Halley's comet, at his last return in 1835, Sir John Herschel, who observed it at the Cape of Good Hope, says--
"Among the innumerable stars of all magnitudes, from the ninth downwards, which at various times were seen through it, and some extremely near to the nucleus (though not _exactly on it_) there never appeared the least ground for presuming any extinction of their light in traversing it. Very minute stars indeed, on entering its brightest portions, were obliterated, as they would have been by an equal illumination of the field of view; but stars which before their entry appeared bright enough to bear that degree of illumination, were in no case, so far as I could judge, affected to a greater extent than they would have been by so much lamp-light artificially introduced."[207]
It is computed by Prof. J. Holetschak that, early in October, 1909, Halley's comet should have the brightness of a star of about 14 magnitude.[208] It should then--if not detected before--be discoverable with some of the large telescopes now available.
According to the computations of Messrs. Cowell and Crommelin, the comet should enter Pisces from Aries in January, 1910. "Travelling westward towards the star ? Piscium until the beginning of May, and then turning eastward again, it will travel back through the constellations Cetus, Orion, Monoceros, Hydra, and s.e.xtans." From this it seems that observers in the southern hemisphere will have a better view of the comet than those in northern lat.i.tudes. The computed brightness varies from 1 on January 2, 1910, to 1112 on May 10. But the actual brightness of a comet does not always agree with theory. It is sometimes brighter than calculation would indicate.
According to Prof. O. C. Wendell, Halley's comet will, on May 12, 1910, approach the earth's...o...b..t within 46 millions of miles; and he thinks that possibly the earth may "encounter some meteors," which are presumably connected with the comet. He has computed the "radiant point" of these meteors (that is, the point from which they appear to come), and finds its position to be R.A. 22{h} 42{m}9, Decl. N. 1 18'. This point lies a little south-west of the star Piscium.
According to Dr. Smart, the comet will, on June 2, "cross the Equator thirteen degrees south of Regulus, and will then move slowly in the direction of f Leonis. The comet will be at its descending node on the ecliptic in the morning of May 16, and the earth will pa.s.s through the node on the comet's...o...b..t about two and a half days later. The comet's...o...b..t at the node is about 13 million miles within that of the earth.
Matter repelled from the comet's nucleus by the sun with a velocity of about 216,000 miles per hour, would just meet the earth when crossing the comet's...o...b..t plane. Matter expelled with a velocity of 80,000 miles per hour, as in the case of Comet Morehouse, would require seven days for the journey. Cometary matter is said to have acquired greater velocities than this, for (according to Webb, who quotes Chacornac) Comet II., 1862, shot luminous matter towards the sun, with a velocity of nearly 2200 miles per second. It is therefore possible that matter thrown off by the comet at the node may enter our atmosphere, in which case we must hope that cyanogen, which so often appears in cometary spectra, may not be inconveniently in evidence."[209]
Cyanogen is, of course, a poisonous gas, but cometary matter is so rarefied that injurious effects on the earth need not be feared.
If we can believe the accounts which have been handed down to us, some very wonderful comets were visible in ancient times. The following may be mentioned:--
B.C. 165. The sun is said to have been "seen for several hours in the night." If this was a comet it must have been one of extraordinary brilliancy.[210]
B.C. 146. "After the death of Demetrius, king of Syria, the father of Demetrius and Antiochus, a little before the war in Achaia, there appeared a comet as large as the sun. Its disc was first red, and like fire, spreading sufficient light to dissipate the darkness of night; after a little while its size diminished, its brilliancy became weakened, and at length it entirely disappeared."[211]
B.C. 134. It is recorded that at the birth of Mithridates a great comet appeared which "occupied the fourth part of the sky, and its brilliancy was superior to that of the sun." (?)[212]
B.C. 75. A comet is described as equal in size to the moon, and giving as much light as the sun on a cloudy day. (!)[213]
A.D. 531. In this year a great comet was observed in Europe and China. It is described as "a very large and fearful comet," and was visible in the west for three weeks. Hind thinks that this was an appearance of Halley's comet,[214] and this has been confirmed by Mr. Crommelin.
A.D. 813, August 4. A comet is said to have appeared on this date, of which the following curious description is given: "It resembled two moons joined together; they separated, and having taken different forms, at length appeared like a man without a head." (!)[215]
A.D. 893. A great comet is said to have appeared in this year with a tail 100 in length, which afterwards increased to 200![216]