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Orders have now, apparently, been given to all German officials to say that the war will last a long time--at least a year and a half.
It is expected that Persia will come in under German leaders.h.i.+p and attack India.
Our Military Attache, Colonel Kuhn, was finally presented to the Kaiser and had a pleasant chat with him. Colonel Kuhn says all fighting on the West is with artillery and hand grenades. Rifles are thrown aside.
Germans have spies "piking off" our Emba.s.sies in Paris, London and Petrograd.
Great airs.h.i.+p attacks on London may be expected. In one of the recent attacks nine thousand eight hundred bombs (fire and explosive) were dropped. I get this from good authority.
Foreign Office quite elated over their Balkan triumph.
Personally, I think it was one of the most effective bits of German "diplomacy" in the history of the Empire.
CHAPTER VI
THE INSIDE OF GERMAN DIPLOMACY
_The Diary Continued_
_October, 1915._ There is a tendency here to say Bernstorff went too far. But this is all for the public, von Jagow told a correspondent so to-day; but, of course, he did not know about the note of Austria to Servia either! The Marine people are positively raging. The paper which Reventlow writes for, the _Tages Zeitung_, was suppressed yesterday; I hear on account of an article on this _Arabic_ settlement, but I am not yet sure.
There is talk now of marching to Egypt.
More and more men are being called to colours. But Germany seems to be able to take care of all fronts. The Emperor is now in the West. The Foreign Office leads the rejoicing over the Entente's invasion of Greece and the violation of its neutrality and says that talk about Belgium is now shown to be _cant_.
Weather is rotten and we shall have a melancholy winter. Feel the war more--deaths and prices. Six hundred and eighty thousand killed to October first, and many crippled. Food way up, but they cannot starve Germany out.
Suppression of the _Tages Zeitung_ means that the Chancellor has at last exhibited some backbone and will fight von Tirpitz. The answer of Germany depends on the outcome of this fight. It is possible that von Falkenhayn and the army party may sustain the Chancellor as against von Tirpitz. It is quite likely that a sort of safe conduct will be offered in the note for s.h.i.+ps especially engaged in pa.s.senger trade. Much stress will be laid on English orders to merchant s.h.i.+ps to ram submarines.
The Kaiser is at Pless, a castle of Prince of Pless, in Silesia, near Breslau, where he moved after the attempt of French fliers to bombard him at Charleville on the West Front. The Germans probably will have Lemberg in a few days. This may prevent Roumania coming in. There is talk here of an attempted revolution in Moscow. There is said to be jealousy of Hindenburg and on account of this, Mackensen was put forward to be the hero of the Galician Campaign. Captain Enochs, one of our observers in Austria, was forced out of Austria because of German pressure and our other military observers will follow soon.
Many commercial magnates have arrived in town to argue with the government against war with America; but some are in favor of the continuance of bitter submarine war, notably one who sees his Bagdad railway menaced by possible English success in the Dardanelles.
_November, 1915._ A man who saw Tisza tells me the Serbs inquired if they could get peace and retain their territories. They were answered, "No."
It is said that Italy has also felt out for peace, but was answered that she must deal with Austria alone--and Austria says that she will not include Italy in any general peace but will wallop her alone after general peace is made.
I am working hard to get British prisoners properly clothed.
Winter is already here. Efforts to starve Germany will not succeed. We shall be on meat and b.u.t.ter cards, but that is only a precaution. The people still are well in hand. Constant rumours of peace keep them hopeful. Men over forty-five not yet called.
They seem to have plenty of troops. The military are careless of the public opinion of neutrals; they say they are winning and do not need good opinion. I am really afraid of war against us after this war--if Germany wins. We had snow, ice, and cold weather at the end of October.
There have been uneasy movements among the people in Leipzig, a great industrial centre, and the _Volkzeitung_, a Socialist paper there, has been put under permanent preventive censors.h.i.+p.
All these movements start with the question of the price of food.
The Prussian Junkers, however, are really benefited by the war.
They get, even with a high "stop price," three times as much as formerly for their agricultural products and pay only a small sum, sixty pfennig daily, for the prisoners of war who now work their fields. They may, in addition, have to pay the keep of the prisoners, but that is very small. Camp commanders are allowed sixty-six pfennig per head per diem.
There is much talk of peace. The shares of the Hamburg-American Line and the shares of the Hamburg-South American Line have risen enormously in price from fifty-six to one hundred and forty in one case. This may be caused by an advantageous sale of some shares of the Holland-American Line or by promise of a subsidy, or by hopes of peace.
There is no question but that every man under forty-five that can drag a rifle has been drafted for the army, with the possible exception of men working in railways, munitions, etc.
Yesterday I noticed many women working on the roadbed of the railway.
The new Peruvian Minister is named von der Heyde; his father was a German.
The Greek Minister still thinks Greece will stay out of the war.
His father is one of the cabinet.
The Germans are very glad to get rid of Brand Whitlock. For some time they have been looking for an excuse to expel him.
The dyestuff and other chemical manufacturers are getting quite scared about possible American compet.i.tion. I hope the Democrats will give protection to these new industries and will also enact some "anti-dumping" legislation.
The German cities are adding to the general weight of debt by incurring large debts for war purposes, such as relief of soldiers' families, etc.
The former Turkish Amba.s.sador, who is against the Young Turks, is living here. He is afraid to go back and also the Germans are keeping him in stock in case the Young Turks go out of power, and possibly to stir up trouble in Egypt, as his wife is a daughter of one of the Khedives.
There are lots of suspicious looking Spaniards about, possibly cooking up an attack on Gibraltar.
Any German peace talk includes payment of a large subsidy by England, Russia, and France; Italy to be left to Austria to finish.
The export of gold has now been formally forbidden.
There is no doubt whatever that the population in the conquered portion of Poland has been for a long time in need of food.